Kerry Gets a Lift Into
Iowa Victory Elevates Crowds, Donations and Standing for Tuesday
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Now Kerry is riding high, begging the media not to label him a front-runner, despite signs suggesting he may be just that. When he walked on stage at
"The last two weeks of this campaign have really been very different -- four hours of sleep a night, some all-nighters, a lot of cold pizza, an occasional warm beer, a lot of Hostess cupcakes," he said. "Folks, I feel like I'm back in exam week in college."
Riding his upset victory in the
Two post-Iowa polls put him in the lead in
The challenge, say outside analysts and strategists inside the campaign, is to capitalize on the
Just as Kerry focused almost single-mindedly on
In both states, Kerry built strong on-the-ground operations involving people with extensive experience.
Kerry's campaign ads here follow the
And as he did in
Yet Kerry still has a habit of piling on in his speeches, adding a great deal of material to the text. His 27-minute speech Wednesday was brief, one consultant quipped.
"He's uneven," said one
"There is still this question of 'Is Kerry too aloof? Can he give good, passionate speeches?' " Gerry Chervinsky said. "But last September he was horrible, and now he's not."
Kerry's change in fortunes did not happen overnight; it just feels that way. Those closest to him and the senator himself have argued that the combination of a more focused electorate, staff shake-ups and a candidate who tends to perform best under pressure have all contributed. It also has not hurt that some of his opponents, notably Dean, have stumbled.
"It's a combination of the Iowa results creating a greater sense of excitement around John Kerry, and as we get closer to the primary, people get a lot more serious about their choice," said Judy Reardon, Kerry's deputy national director and a veteran of New Hampshire campaigns. "A lot of times, things just happen. There's a part of campaigns that are mystical and out of your control."
The rap on Kerry from early in his career was that he was a patrician who felt chummier with a camera than actual voters. Last month, Russell fretted publicly that Kerry was awkward in large crowds and not spending enough time in
Strategists have addressed part of the "connection" problem, as they put it, by putting Kerry in "Oprah"-style settings where he prowls the aisles with microphone in hand urging voters to grill him and check him out thoroughly.
"I don't offer my résumé," he said here. "I offer my gut."
In the past few days, Kerry has said obliquely that he "learned a great deal" campaigning in
Chervinsky said Kerry, who has always enjoyed good favorable ratings, is well positioned to capitalize on the changing international situation and political landscape at home. "Dean was the antiwar candidate with the populist message, but Kerry and [Sen. John] Edwards refined the populist message, Saddam Hussein was captured and electability has become a big issue," said Chervinsky, who conducts a poll for the Boston Globe and WBZ television. "They want somebody who can beat Bush, and Kerry's the guy."
It is hardly coincidence that Kerry has been pounding the theme that he would be the strongest Democrat against Bush, given his résumé. On that matchup, Kerry's numbers have climbed steadily to 32 percent, Chervinsky said, while those of Dean and retired Army Gen. Wesley K. Clark have fallen by several percentage points.